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Libya (Tazerbo to Tripoli and Benghazi)

#00218

FailedNational

Case study of

#00203 Long-distance and fossil-aquifer water transfer megaprojects

Implementer

Great Man-Made River Authority (Libyan state)

Timeline

Since Jan 1, 1984

Location

Libya (Tazerbo to Tripoli and Benghazi)27.5000, 17.5000

Description

The Great Man-Made River, begun in 1984, is a roughly $25bn network pumping fossil water from the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer across hundreds of kilometres of desert to coastal cities. Before 2011 about 70% of Libyans depended on it. A NATO strike destroyed the Brega pipe factory that manufactured replacement pipe sections, triggering a maintenance collapse compounded by a decade of underinvestment, equipment looting, and power blackouts. Tripoli and Benghazi now suffer recurring multi-hour water cuts. The engineering functioned; the system failed because a non-renewing aquifer source combined with a single national distribution artery and a fragile state left no redundancy of any kind.

Metrics

3
Capital cost~25billion USD
Share of Libyans dependent before 2011~70% of population
Service reliability post-2011 vs pre-2011Near-continuous supply pre-2011Recurring multi-hour water cuts in Tripoli and Benghazi

Funding

$25,000,000,000 · Libyan state

Lessons learned

  • A single strike on one facility (the Brega pipe factory) crippled the entire maintenance supply chain for a national water lifeline — any replicator must plan geographically distributed spare-parts manufacturing and stockpiling.
  • Fossil-aquifer dependency deepens over time as the stock drains and cannot recharge, making exit or diversification progressively harder and more expensive.
  • Megaproject resilience is ultimately bounded by the institutional and security resilience of the state that must operate, maintain, and defend it for decades — engineering success cannot substitute for that.

Documented Jul 24, 2026

Author AvatarArnaud Gissinger

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