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Case study of

#00114 Fund native-species restoration through vetted local partners, and report multi-year survival — not seedlings planted

Çorum, Turkey

#00125

FailedNational

Implementer

Government of Turkey — Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry / General Directorate of Forestry

Timeline

Nov 11, 2019 – Jan 31, 2020

Location

Çorum, Turkey40.5506, 34.9556

Description

On 11 November 2019 ('National Forestation Day'), Turkey's government ran 'Breath for the Future,' planting roughly 11 million saplings at over 2,000 sites in a single day. At Çorum, volunteers set a Guinness World Record for most trees planted in one hour (~303,150 saplings). The agriculture-and-forestry workers' union (TARIM ORMAN-İŞ) conducted field inspections across six provinces 2–3 months later and reported up to ~90% of saplings had died, attributing deaths to planting in the wrong season (November), lack of rainfall, and absence of expert oversight. The union stated it had warned officials beforehand that a November campaign was very likely to fail, and that even under proper conditions the realistic success rate is ~65–70%. The ministry disputed the figure, claiming ~95% survival — a claim that could not be independently verified. No aftercare programme, survival monitoring, or species-to-site matching was reported.

Metrics

3
Saplings planted in one hour at Çorum (world record)~303,150saplings
Saplings planted nationwide on 11 Nov 2019~11,000,000 across 2,000+ sitessaplings
Reported survival ~2–3 months later (union field inspections, disputed by ministry)~100% implied in headline claim~10% alive / up to ~90% dead (ministry claimed ~95% alive)% survival

Funding

Turkish government (Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry), volunteer-planted

Lessons learned

  • Season and water availability dominate survival: planting in November without adequate rainfall produced reported mortality up to ~90% within months, regardless of volume planted.
  • A Guinness record for 'most trees planted in one hour' rewards speed on planting day, not establishment — the stage where trees actually live or die.
  • The forestry union warned officials before the campaign that November timing would likely fail; the warning was overridden by the spectacle-driven target, illustrating how political goals can bypass field expertise.
  • Disputed survival figures (union: ~90% dead vs. ministry: ~95% alive) show why independent verification is a prerequisite — without it, large-scale failure is deniable.
  • Even under good conditions the union cited a realistic establishment rate of ~65–70%, far below the implicit 100% in headline seedling counts — a gap that should be built into any replication plan.

Documented Jun 29, 2026

Author AvatarArnaud Gissinger

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